Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 14.389499 16.312030 18.508257 21.227892 24.540566 28.491478 33.632549
2025-05-18 11.727622 14.066534 16.967588 20.910940 26.264116 33.489231 44.378140
2025-05-25 10.198856 12.681882 15.931498 20.638108 27.542551 37.776941 55.161053
2025-06-01 9.182745 11.741093 15.233371 20.558306 28.896006 42.317770 67.818392
2025-06-08 8.260926 10.783969 14.339182 19.979723 29.282175 45.315704 78.916855
2025-06-15 7.663362 10.199168 13.880738 19.948962 30.482696 49.951793 95.303725
2025-06-22 6.948099 9.367227 12.950692 19.013471 29.921769 51.125306 104.636807
2025-06-29 6.319892 8.607916 12.051983 18.003229 29.031019 51.395820 111.937762
2025-07-06 5.851010 8.050315 11.414058 17.351191 28.688752 52.722760 122.921228
2025-07-13 5.975297 8.404995 12.254011 19.379028 33.960049 68.320859 190.267958
2025-07-20 5.823543 8.310408 12.342217 20.048557 36.594165 78.698784 253.147252
2025-07-27 5.476854 7.876408 11.815639 19.478309 36.376680 81.323913 286.119296
2025-08-03 5.320685 7.755044 11.839437 20.034217 38.997311 93.752110 395.359445
2025-08-10 5.050113 7.425795 11.469602 19.753083 39.563584 100.194736 486.943599
2025-08-17 4.809911 7.130899 11.135298 19.500799 40.152017 107.110177 606.870657
2025-08-24 4.615562 6.901006 10.899687 19.427079 41.201617 116.423734 794.323729
2025-08-31 4.378476 6.583035 10.475952 18.892272 40.878760 120.245466 944.679999
2025-09-07 4.223338 6.398710 10.289520 18.863824 41.998527 131.029521 1291.462897
2025-09-14 3.979891 6.046358 9.759287 17.998058 40.489957 129.130031 1394.977413
2025-09-21 3.744088 5.697686 9.217700 17.061667 38.632412 124.919119 1432.661338
2025-09-28 3.561564 5.436405 8.831743 16.456470 37.705043 125.072380 1609.818121
2025-10-05 3.664783 5.690915 9.468093 18.336520 45.071309 175.459406 5649.460151
2025-10-12 3.624229 5.681029 9.577064 18.955922 48.545159 208.990041 15999.081149